Guest Anonymous September 28, 2016 September 28, 2016 If all we relied on were statisticians wif slide rulers we would still be living in caves. Sometimes you just gotta believe! I wonder what statisticians thought about our odds of landing a man on the moon? Probly would have said "The odds are too high against that ever happening successfully!" Some dude, like say President Kennedy, said "Damn the statistics and probabilities and the cost, we are going to do that." Well I am winning that Taco Bell! I am bravely going forward with my plans! And I am not buying any of you any presents with my winnings cause you d'nt believe! Or worse you don't like Taco Bell you like spaghetti instead.
Tewi September 28, 2016 September 28, 2016 Statisticians will be right whether you win or not lol. No one said it was impossible. Just that the likelihood of winning hardly warrants the effort in entering. And you better believe NASA had statisticians working for them. That was no hit-or-miss project they were running, probability was a major component in everything they did. Hi, I'm Tewi, one of Luminesce's tulpas. I often switch to take care of things for the others. All I want is a simple, peaceful life. With my family. Our Ask thread: https://community.tulpa.info/thread-ask-lumi-s-tulpas
Guest Anonymous September 28, 2016 September 28, 2016 The statisticians weren't on the management team of NASA. They were on the "Oh gods, what are we doing?" team of hand wringers. They did say "Go!" when asked if it was a good day to fly. So I suppose they were believers in the end. All systems are go! The statisticians are about to have a heart attack, but all systems are go! Davie and I read somewhere that the going assumption was that Apollo 11 had a 50% chance of success. Which means there was a good chance those men were just going to die on that first attempt. They almost didn't make it. They had 30 seconds of fuel left when they landed and were off course from the original landing plan with the navigation computer on the fritz in the last moments. It came down to pure guts and grit and not statistics in the end.
Guest September 28, 2016 September 28, 2016 Ikea. They do good desks. I've been looking at their site but there's definitely a lot to see. They have some viable ones in the $150-$200 or so area, so I'll keep my eyes on that, just doin' research beforehand. If I do pick one up, I'd definitely like to do something to it and give it another tier near the back, maybe see if I can do it up so I can fit some racks of equipment under it. I'm pretty retarded in general, but I'm not totally incompetent with power-tools. It just, idunno, has to look nice too, ya know? We'll see. @Enny: Have you considered building a desk to your specifications? I just use two black desks I got from Wal-Mart Incorporated (one for desk work and another for consumer electronics) and a fold-able plastic table for model building and electronics projects. If I had the room and equipment, I would just purchase raw materials and make what I have to. Yet for now I rely upon minimalism, improvisation and basic modifications as well as modular expansion and storage for my needs. Instructables is a great place to look for inspiration regarding a variety of subjects. I definitely have. Like I mentioned above, I'd like another tier in the back that has room for racks underneath, but honestly, if I could actually figure out how to build something that, say, has a large midi-keyboard tray built into it or something, with an actual spot to set my PC in (with room for a bigger case if I ever need one), that'd be rad. It's just, knowing exactly what I'm doing, what to buy to make it work, and of course, cost. I lazed onto Amazon to see what I could find, and this popped up, seemed fine, but like.. Man, idunno. My current desk is roundaboud that width, so that's good, and it seems deeper, but there are a LOT of complaints scattered about the internet about awful packaging and damage, so that's probably null. Then this for less, tray seems like it would just fit my keyboard, but more reviews on shipping/quality. Don't wanna pay more than the first one, not right now anyway, but the options are too limited. So eff man, think I very-well might have to just build one, or at the very-least actually modify one from ikea or some shit. I'll try not to lose a finger.
jean-luc September 29, 2016 September 29, 2016 You guys and your skepticism on my Taco Bell big win! I will show you all when we win the big bucks and get to flash it around like big shots! I am going to enter every contest like that we can. We won't buy anything extra that we don't normally buy, don't worry bout that. Silly peoples and their doubts about Melian. Nah, just faith in statistics. Indeed! If all we relied on were statisticians wif slide rulers we would still be living in caves. On the contrary. if we still relied entirely on instinct and gut feelings rather than logic, we'd still be stuck in caves. Sometimes you just gotta believe! I wonder what statisticians thought about our odds of landing a man on the moon? Probly would have said "The odds are too high against that ever happening successfully!" Some dude, like say President Kennedy, said "Damn the statistics and probabilities and the cost, we are going to do that." No, if Kennedy was that idiotic he would've promised we were going to land on mars. A risk/reward assesment (spelling, bleh) was made and decided that landing on the moon was possible. Quite awesome. Not only that, but you say that there was a 50% chance. But no one knew what the chances were, because we had never done it before. Any percentages were merely speculation. With raffles and lotteries, they are required to tell you exactly what your chances were. Well I am winning that Taco Bell! We'll be here a while... Stats is back: https://stats.jean-luc.org/ My visits to tulpa.info are chaotic. If you want me to see something, make sure to quote a post of mine or ping me @jean-luc
Guest Anonymous September 29, 2016 September 29, 2016 Well we can't go to Taco Bell every day! Just once a week or so is all we can do. Gosh! Otherwise we would have the big win already!
jean-luc September 30, 2016 September 30, 2016 https://www.tellthebell.com/PContent.aspx?Page=Rules&c=550921 If more than one (1) online entry is received per person per Entry Period, only the first such entry received will be eligible for the drawing for that Entry Period. You can only enter once. If you fill it out multiple times than they happily accept the feedback but it doesn't increase your chances. Stats is back: https://stats.jean-luc.org/ My visits to tulpa.info are chaotic. If you want me to see something, make sure to quote a post of mine or ping me @jean-luc
Tewi September 30, 2016 September 30, 2016 They weren't going to win anyways, you could've let them believe they had a really good chance. Well, now you have less excuse to eat makesyoufatfast food. Hi, I'm Tewi, one of Luminesce's tulpas. I often switch to take care of things for the others. All I want is a simple, peaceful life. With my family. Our Ask thread: https://community.tulpa.info/thread-ask-lumi-s-tulpas
Solune September 30, 2016 September 30, 2016 They weren't going to win anyways, you could've let them believe they had a really good chance. That's what God said when we discovered the laws of thermodynamics. lololololololol I'm looking at YOU entropy! >=[ "For small creatures such as we the vastness is bearable only through love." - Carl Sagan Host: SubCon | Tulpas: Sol, Luna, Alice, Little One, Beast and Solune (me) | Servitors: Odonata, Guardian
Guest Anonymous September 30, 2016 September 30, 2016 Davie can use each of his relatives and close friends names, one at a time, during this friggin irritating entry period thingy jean-luc made us notice and messed it up for everyone else. Thanks a lot.
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